AI Forecasts
PortfolioCRWDFundamentals & Valuation
C

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.

CRWD

Price$262.48
Market cap$266.7B
Market data as of2026-09-23
Fundamentals through2026-07-31
Data ready

Current state

Standard DCF

Current price

$262.48

Market capitalization

$266.7B

Valuation date

2026-09-23

Model-Implied Valuation Gap

-87.3%

relative to current market capitalization

Model equity value

$34B

Previous gap

-85.3%

Change vs prior

-1.9% pp

Model & data status

Standard DCFStandard DCF · PassHIGH confidenceP/E · PassEarnings contextFresh data
Published2026-08-26
Market data as of2026-09-23
Fundamentals through2026-07-31
Valuation date2026-09-23

Why the model sees this gap

The standard DCF implies an equity value substantially below the current market capitalization. The latest widening is entirely market-driven: market capitalization rose without a new operating-period update. Across the supplied chronology, higher FCFF and generally greater cash balances supported modeled equity value, but repeated market re-rating outweighed those fundamental improvements. Current diluted earnings are positive but small, making the reported P/E sensitive to its earnings denominator; material non-operating items and corporate-action normalization limit multiple interpretation.

Primary drivers

market cap used

Central research view

Price, Fundamentals & Valuation

Range
Scale
Stock PriceRevenue
Fundamental points reflect latest reported states; no daily interpolation

Point-in-time states

How the Valuation Gap Evolved

13 states · 12 transitions
2026-09-23Market Move Since Latest Fundamental State-85.3% → -87.3%Market-only update extends the widening

What changed

The gap widened to its current level without a new operating-period update.

Why changed

The supplied attribution assigns the widening entirely to higher market capitalization, rather than changed fundamentals.

2026-08-27New Financial Period-82.7% → -85.3%Continued re-rating outweighs stronger fundamentals

What changed

The gap widened again as market value grew faster than modeled support.

Why changed

Higher FCFF and cash narrowed the gap on fundamental grounds, but the market-cap increase more than offset them.

2026-06-04New Financial Period-72.2% → -82.7%Sharp market re-rating overwhelms FCFF growth

What changed

The gap widened sharply despite stronger cash generation.

Why changed

Higher market capitalization dominated the FCFF improvement, while reduced cash balances also widened the gap.

2026-03-04New Financial Period-80.5% → -72.2%Market decline and stronger fundamentals narrow the gap

What changed

The gap narrowed substantially.

Why changed

Lower market capitalization was reinforced by higher FCFF and renewed cash accumulation.

2025-12-03New Financial Period-77.7% → -80.5%Market gains outpace FCFF recovery

What changed

The gap resumed widening.

Why changed

Higher market capitalization outweighed stronger FCFF, while lower cash balances added fundamental pressure.

2025-08-28New Financial Period-79.1% → -77.7%Market easing and fundamental gains narrow the gap

What changed

The gap narrowed modestly.

Why changed

Lower market capitalization combined with higher cash and recovering FCFF to support narrowing.

Fundamental intelligence

What Changed — and Why

CASH

Unverified

Operating cash flow

Operating cash flow: $332.8M → $530.3M (+59.3% YOY)

Operating cash flow increased, but no eligible quarterly year-over-year explanation was supplied.

EARNINGS QUALITY

HIGH

Net income

Net income: -$70.1M → $5.3M (sign change, YOY; percentage change not meaningful)

Net income moved from a loss to a profit, principally reflecting a narrower operating loss, with tax benefits helping and lower interest income offsetting the improvement.

GROWTH

HIGH

Revenue

Revenue: $1.17B → $1.47B (+25.8% YOY)

Revenue growth was led by subscriptions, supported by new customers and expanded sales to existing customers.

PROFITABILITY

HIGH

Operating income

Operating income: -$105.5M → -$33.2M (+68.5% YOY)

The operating loss narrowed as gross-profit growth exceeded higher operating expenses; reduced Strategic Plan charges also helped.

Deterministic review

Quality of Earnings

NET INCOME OPERATING INCOME GAPMEDIUM

Net income and operating income differ materially; tax, interest and other non-operating items require explanation.

UNUSUAL EFFECTIVE TAX RATEMEDIUM

Effective tax rate is 2.1%; check tax benefits, valuation allowances and one-offs.

Earnings context

Earnings & Multiples

TTM diluted EPS

$0.037

P/E

7,146×

Latest quarter EPS

$0.01

Status

Pass

net income to common over ttm diluted shares split normalized. P/E is context only and not an investment signal.

Reliability & provenance

Data Quality

Canonical facts1,639
Quarter periods19
Conflicts0
Unresolved0
Fundamentals history ready Coherent snapshot Evidence linked